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Journal of Economic Theory and Econometrics
Journal of the Korean Econometric Society
Estimation of Residential Electricity Demand in Korea Allowing for a Structural Break
Vol.31, No.4, December 2020, 69–85
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Seong Yeon Chang
(Soongsil University)
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Abstract
This study examines the time series characteristics of residential electricity demand and its determinants in Korea and the short-run and long-run relationship among them. We employ unit root tests, cointegration, and error-correction models on annual time series for the period 1972--2019. The rapid development of Korea over this period provides clear evidence of the possibility of structural breaks. We find that residential electricity demand and its determinants are trend-stationary processes with a slope change, which implies that there is no need to invoke cointegration methods under the unit root assumption. We expect that the essential modeling strategy presented in this article will be widely applicable.
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Keywords
Cointegration, Korea, Price Elasticity, Residential Electricity Demand, Structural Breaks, Unit Root |
JEL classification codes
C22, C51, D12 |
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