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Journal of Economic Theory and Econometrics
Journal of the Korean Econometric Society
Asymptotic Property of Least Squares Estimators for Explosive Autoregressive Models with a Drift
Vol.32, No.4, December 2021, 1–12
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Jin Lee
(Ewha Womans University)
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Abstract
We study asymptotic inferences of the OLS estimator in the first order autoregressive model with an explosive root and a nonzero drift. Recent literatures focus on driftless model in dealing with explosive parameter in relation with financial bubbles detection. We consider an extension by allowing a non-zero drift, where the process behaves as a linear time trend during the non- bubble period, and it exhibits an exponential trend during the explosive era. Consistency of the least squares estimator and of the right-tailed coefficient-based Dickey-Fuller unit root test are shown in case of the presence of drift term.
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Keywords
Explosive Root, Drift, Consistency, Unit Root Test |
JEL classification codes
C13, C22 |
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