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Journal of Economic Theory and Econometrics
Journal of the Korean Econometric Society
Is the valuation effect always beneficial for adjusting external imbalances?
Vol.33, No.4, December 2022, 77–110
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Hangyu Lee
(Dongduk Women’s University)
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Abstract
This paper investigates implications of the valuation effect on a
number of international macroeconomic issues. Emphasizing that the valuation
effect is a wealth transfer among countries through capital gains or losses, it
mainly concentrates on studying implications of the valuation effect on international
risk sharings and external imbalances. For these purposes, a standard
two-country monetary macroeconomic model is considered and the financial integration
is embedded through cross-border asset holdings. Main findings of this
paper can be summarized as follows: First, the valuation effect works mainly
as an impact effect and it depends crucially on initial movements of nominal
exchange rates and asset prices. Second, the valuation effect can matter quantitatively
depending on the composition of external asset position and types of
shocks. Especially, when bonds are main components in external asset position
and a monetary shock hits the economy, the valuation effect is conspicuous.
Finally, the valuation effect can exert considerable influences on the economy.
Specifically, under certain circumstances, it can work against international risk
sharings and magnify external imbalances by amplifying the effects of a shock.
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Keywords
Valuation Effect, External Imbalance, International Risk Sharing |
JEL classification codes
F41, F32, F44 |
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