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Journal of Economic Theory and Econometrics
Journal of the Korean Econometric Society
The Macroprudential Measures’ Effects on the Korean Foreign Exchange Market
Vol.34, No.3, September 2023, 1–24
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In Huh
(The Catholic University of Korea)
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Abstract
Although capital market openness is a virtue to pursue, there are
many reasons to control capital flows. Korean monetary authorities employed
macroprudential measures after the global financial crisis (GFC). They intend
to avoid the considerable accumulation of foreign capital inflows, which potentially
causes a financial crisis in an economic downturn. Korean macroprudential
measures enlengthened the maturity of foreign currency debts. This paper analyzes
whether the macroprudential measures limit the supply of USD enough to
change the price variables. The macroprudential measures did not cause the depreciation
of the Korean won, and the Korean won’s sensitivity to market volatility
did not rise either. Although the cost of USD funding increased after the
macroprudential measures, the F/X exchange rates did not seem to react. The
interest rate arbitrage opportunity did not increase after implementing macroprudential
measures. Because the investors have not fully explored the interest
arbitrage opportunity, the increased USD funding cost of macroprudential measures
did not show up as the increased gap between the Korean won bond interest
rate and cross-currency rate. Korean monetary authorities introduced the macroprudential
measure when capital inflows resumed after the GFC. The increased
cost of USD funding did not reverse the capital inflows trend, only restructuring
them.
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Keywords
Macroprudential measures, exchange rates, currency swap rates, interest rates arbitrages |
JEL classification codes
E6, F3, E4 |
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