Journal of Economic Theory and Econometrics: Journal of the Korean Econometric Society
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Journal of Economic Theory and Econometrics
JETEM/계량경제학보/計量經濟學報/JKES
Journal of the Korean Econometric Society

Factors Influencing the Political Orientation of Seoul Citizens: A Multinomial Logistic Regression Analysis

Vol.36, No.3, September , 35–60


English Version |  Korean Version
  •   (University of Seoul)

  •   (Yonsei University)

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Abstract  

This paper analyzes the influence of factors such as income, age, gender, education level, and residential area on the political orientation of Seoul citizens using multinomial logistic regression models. The marginal effect of income shows that there is little change across most income brackets, but the probability of being conservative increases sharply in the highest income bracket, while the probabilities of being moderate and liberal decrease. The effect of age indicates that, as expected, the probability of becoming conservative increases and the probability of becoming liberal decreases as age increases. The impact of education is not linear; graduating from college increases the probability of being liberal and decreases the probability of being conservative. However, obtaining a graduate degree, such as a master's or doctorate, results in an increase in both liberal and conservative probabilities, while the probability of being moderate decreases. It was also found that women are more likely to be liberal than men and show very different patterns in the marginal effects of income, age, and education compared to men.


Keywords
   Political orientation, probability of political orientation, marginal effect.

JEL classification codes
   C25.
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