Journal of Economic Theory and Econometrics: Journal of the Korean Econometric Society
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Journal of Economic Theory and Econometrics
JETEM/계량경제학보/計量經濟學報/JKES
Journal of the Korean Econometric Society

Disentangling Trend and Seasonality in Panel Data: An Empirical Analysis of Food Product Sales

Vol.33, No.3, September , 1–10



  •   (Chung-Ang University)

  •   (Yonsei University)

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Abstract  

This paper provides a novel approach to extract the trend and seasonal components from panel data consisting of individual entries showing both strong trend and seasonality. For such a data set, the usual principal component analysis generally fails to disentangle them. In the paper, we suggest a methodology to separately identify them using the Hodrick-Prescott filter that is commonly and widely used to remove trends in various economic data. We apply our methodology to a food product sales panel data and show that it effectively disentangles the trend and seasonal components in the data set.


Keywords
   trend, seasonality, panel data, principal component analysis, Hodrick-Prescott filter

JEL classification codes
   C10, C23, C55, C81
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