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Journal of Economic Theory and Econometrics
Journal of the Korean Econometric Society
Disentangling Trend and Seasonality in Panel Data: An Empirical Analysis of Food Product Sales
Vol.33, No.3, September 2022, 1–10
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Yongok Choi
(Chung-Ang University)
Minsoo Jeong
(Yonsei University)
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Abstract
This paper provides a novel approach to extract the trend and seasonal components
from panel data consisting of individual entries showing both strong trend and seasonality. For
such a data set, the usual principal component analysis generally fails to disentangle them. In the
paper, we suggest a methodology to separately identify them using the Hodrick-Prescott filter that is
commonly and widely used to remove trends in various economic data. We apply our methodology
to a food product sales panel data and show that it effectively disentangles the trend and seasonal
components in the data set.
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Keywords
trend, seasonality, panel data, principal component analysis, Hodrick-Prescott filter |
JEL classification codes
C10, C23, C55, C81 |
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