Journal of Economic Theory and Econometrics: Journal of the Korean Econometric Society
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Journal of Economic Theory and Econometrics
JETEM/계량경제학보/計量經濟學報/JKES
Journal of the Korean Econometric Society

Semiparametric Estimation of Dynamic Discrete Choice Models of Optimal Stopping with Unobserved Heterogeneity

Vol.23, No.3, September , 201–212



  •   (Korea Labor Institute)

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Abstract  

This paper derives a multinomial logit form for dynamic discrete choice models of optimal stopping and suggests a two-step estimator. The first stage estimates nonparametrically the choice probability of terminal state next period. The second stage is an implementation of modified multinomial logit estimation. This paper also suggests semiparametric conditional choice probability (CCP) estimators for discrete choice dynamic models allowing for unobserved individual heterogeneity. I describe a modified Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm that involves nonparametric first stage estimation.


Keywords
   Dynamic Model, Optimal Stopping, EM algorithm

JEL classification codes
   C14, C25
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